NATO will discuss American plans for new missile defences today as Russia
said it would refuse to destroy thousands of nuclear warheads if the system
went ahead.
George W Bush is committed to pushing ahead with the national missile
defence system to protect America from attack by rogue states such as Iraq,
Iran and North Korea. But General Vladimir Yakovlev, head of Russia's
strategic rocket forces, said that this would scupper treaties agreeing to
the destruction of warheads.
The 1972 ABM treaty, which Washington wants to amend, governs the conditions
under which America and the former Soviet Union can develop and deploy
anti-ballistic missile systems. The current treaty would limit American
deployment to its launch pad at Grand Forks, North Dakota, preventing the
kind of nationwide protection envisaged under the new plans.
The ABM treaty led to the Start treaties. The current treaty, Start II,
would halve American and Russian nuclear arsenals to 3,000 or 3,500 warheads
each. President Putin has suggested that under Start III both sides should
reduce their nuclear arsenals to 1,500 each.
But Gen Yakovlev said that Russia was not prepared to soften its approach to
allow the national missile defence system to go ahead. Deploying it would
galvanise Russians to create "new weapons" even deadlier than nuclear
missiles.
He said: "You cannot stop the human mind. Unfortunately, men will always be
driven to create new weapons. We expend our ingenuity inventing new systems
and then have to work to find ways to eliminate them."
President Reagan's vaunted Star Wars system was abandoned largely because it
was recognised as too expensive to protect every American city. America fell
back on the Cold War view that the mutually assured destruction (Mad) that
would occur if either side fired one of its missiles was a sufficient
deterrent.
But it had second thoughts when the Cold War ended and rogue nuclear threats
emerged. Protecting cities against the much smaller threat would not be as
difficult or expensive.
The 1999 National Missile Defence Act, signed by President Clinton,
committed America to deploying the £50 billion system "as soon as
technologically possible". It is expected to involve space and ground-based
sensors to provide early warning; ground-based radar to identify and track
incoming missiles; ground-based interceptors to destroy enemy warheads; and
a battle command, control and communications system.
Despite American assurances that it is intended to protect America from
countries such as North Korea and Iraq, the Russians fear that its ultimate
aim is to put them at a disadvantage. Gen Yakovlev said that if it did not
go ahead and there was agreement on Start III, Moscow was prepared to get
rid of all its intercontinental ballistic missiles, with the exception of
1,500 new Topol Ms, which have a range of 6,200 miles.
It was also willing to allow a resumption of the talks between Russian and
American nuclear specialists that broke up when Nato attacked Yugoslavia
last year. Gen Yakovlev said he believed that these expert discussions were
the best way of pushing forward the Start process. "Only the professionals
who handle these weapons understand how dangerous they really are."