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OTTAWA - FOR A MISSILE system designed to defend North America, the
proposed United States ``Son of Star Wars´´ project is proving
remarkably destructive.
In separate but overlapping visits here this week, Russian President
Valdimir Putin and French President Jacques Chirac used similar language
to condemn the $60 billion U.S. project at the centre of president-elect
George W. Bush's defence policy.
Evoking memories of times better forgotten, the two leaders warned
the plan to target missiles in space would lead to nuclear proliferation
and a new arms race.
Putin and Chirac, along with much of the rest of the world, are
understandably worried that Bush's commitment to the National Missile
Defence (NMD) will destroy the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty,
reverse the painfully slow process toward neutralizing the world's
nuclear arsenal and put international security at risk.
Piled on top of those fears is the growing concern that U.S.
interest in an expensive, science fiction defence system is a step
toward isolationism and an end to the international co-operation that
has defined Western military policy since the end of the last war.
As their host and Washington's most sensitive neighbour, Prime
Minister Jean Chrétien's response was studiously diplomatic. He
sidestepped Putin's suggestion that Canada mediate the dispute, adding
that it is up to the U.S. to make a case for the controversial system.
Chrétien's caution reflects deep and continuing concern over an
issue that is straining the critical relationship with the U.S. and
promises to become more problematic in January when Bush moves into the
White House.
While Washington has not yet formally asked for Canada's
participation, the project is clearly seen south of the border as a
litmus test of continental solidarity.
Canada's conundrum is that it is in no position to oppose a suspect
idea built on technology that doesn't work. Along with vital access to
sensitive high technology, Canada's plans to increase military
integration with the U.S. would be jeopardized by refusal to provide at
least the diplomatic support Washington so clearly wants.
The other side of the story, one articulately expressed by former
foreign affairs minister Lloyd Axworthy until a very public cabinet
debate was silenced last spring, is equally compelling. Canada remains
in the forefront of international efforts to abolish weapons of mass
destruction and the thrust of its foreign policy is global, not
regional.
Canada's concerns would be legitimate even if U.S. expectations for
a missile defence umbrella were realistic. So far, they are not. The
system continues to fail tests intended to demonstrate its ability to
find and destroy in space missiles fired from rogue states. Critics
contend the technology needed for the project does not exist and that
the Pentagon has been faking reports in hopes of gaining approval and
the accompanying massive funds.
More dubious still is the argument that a nuclear missile system
deployed on Earth with targets in space will reduce the threat of
terrorist attacks on the world's leading target. As frightening as the
prospect of nuclear attack is, recent horrific events demonstrate that
Americans at home and abroad are much more vulnerable to cottage
industry terrorism.
Bombings of U.S. embassies in Africa and the successful attack on
the U.S.S. Cole in the Gulf are typical. The technology was readily
available and the acts executed by extremists who are oblivious to the
deterrent that the most powerful nation on Earth will respond with
bloody retribution. Missile defence critics argue the U.S. would be
better advised to spend the money countering terrorists who are willing
and able to inflict enormous damage with a subway bomb or chemical
agent.
All of this poses an ugly dilemma for Canada, which a few months ago
seemed likely to be rescued by the system's faults and President Bill
Clinton's increasing doubts.
After test failures earlier this year, Clinton put approval on ice,
effectively pushing the decision past both the U.S. and Canadian
elections. Relieved, the Chrétien government began to hope
international pressure and a victory by Vice-President Al Gore would
kill the project without damage to U.S.-Canada relations.
That hope is now faint indeed. This week, Colin Powell, the Gulf War
general who will be Bush's Secretary of State, said the new
administration would listen to concerns and then approve the project.
Flexing more muscle, he said critics would have to live with a decision
he believes is in the interest of the international community, as well
as that of the U.S.
To get the benefit of Canada's support and the diplomatic cover it
would provide, Washington is willing to accept a modest commitment from
this country. But with a Republican in the White House and Canada
clinging to Washington's military and economic coattails, the U.S. isn't
about to accept ``no´´ as an answer from the neighbour to the North.
James Travers is a national affairs columnist.